A lot of lefties have been babbling about how the Republicans supposedly overreached in WI, and this will be Walker’s “ObamaCare” (a legislative act that pisses off teh public , and sparks a tremendous backlash).
While it’s a lovely fantasy for them, it misses out on reality.
1: ObamaCare harms most voters. If you like your health savings account, if you like your current insurance, if you liked your Medicare Advantage, if you don’t want the government screwing up health care even more than it already is, then you are directly, personally, negatively affected by ObamaCare, and the harm will simply get worse as time goes on.
2: Repealing Government Union collective bargaining, and cutting off union access to workers paychecks, harms very few people, and hte vast majority of hte people it harms were consistent Democrat voters anyway.
Who’s harmed by the WI Republicans move?
- The unions that got to take money from the workers and spend it on Democrat campaigns have definitely been harmed. However, these were enemies of the Republicans anyway, so it’s not like this is going to encourage them to be more anti-Republican. And the law immediately costs them money, so they will have fewer resources to care out their anti-Republican jihads.
- The Democrat politicians who were on teh Union gravy train are harmed. But it’s not like this will make them more eager to win elections.
- Union members will probably be getting worse deals now that they don’t have the union there.
So, we’ve got one group of people who are harmed by the Republican law, some of whom in the past have probably voted Republican.
However, those same union members now no long have the union taking $1,000+ out of their paychecks every year, and now get to re-certify the union every year, which means if the union isn’t responsive to their needs, they can get rid of it.
So, how many votes will this actually cost the Republicans? Consider the characteristics of the voters they will lose:
- Strongly pro union (not necessarily a gov’t union worker), or a gov’t union member who feels like the changes in bargaining will hurt her or him
- Someone who routinely voted for Republicans in the past (if they were an automatic Democrat vote, there’s nothing they can change), or else didn’t vote at all
- Someone who values the union more than they value the money the union will no longer be able to take from them
How many votes is that? My gues is “not many”. And when you look at the cost to the Democrats of all those forced union dues they’re losing, I think that this will turn out to be a net positive for the Republicans.