Mickey Kaus is trying to come up with reasons why Democrats should pass “Health Care Reform”, but his thinking is rather delusional:
There’s a much better argument. It’s that passing health care reform offers Dems, in the not-so- long term, a chance to do more than avoid Republican attacks. It offers the chance to disprove them. For months, both GOP and Fox hosts have been talking about socialized medicine and death panels and vicious Medicare cuts and the government coming between you and your doctor, etc. If Democrats pass the bill and none of this happens, Republican opponents will be more than defeated. They’ll be discredited.
Mickey has apparently forgotten that the Democrat plans raise taxes immediately, but start giving their “benefits” only around 2013. So if the Democrats pass one of those bills, then for the next three years people will be facing higher taxes, and the threat of what will come, but they won’t be getting any of this “reality” that Mickey claims to think will disprove the Republican claims. If that’s not a setup for an epic fail, I can’t imagine what would be one.
P. S. Mickey tries to save his claims with this:
P.P.S.: OK, you say. If Dems pass reform and the sky doesn’t fall, that might help them in the semi-near term. But how would it help them this November, when many will be facing what looks like an impressive wave of popular discontent? One answer is to look at the public’s response to the “stimulus” bill. It was unreasonable to expect last year’s package of spending to have an immediate effect on the unemployment rate. But when the unemployment rate didn’t fall, did voters say “Well, let’s give it another year and see”? Or did they start to think the stimulus was a flop? Answer: flop. Similarly, if health reform passes and nothing much changes, they will very quickly start to suspect that the GOP predictions of doom were bogus.
- The Democrats sold the stimulus with the promise that it would have immediate positive effects. Remember this chart:
The voters judge the “Stimulus” a failure because it did not meet the Democrats promises.
- The Republicans aren’t saying all the bad things will happen immediately (other than taxes being raised). Since the things the Republicans are saying are going to happen will, in fact, happen, this will give the rest of the Republican predictions more credibility, not less.
In short, if the Democrats want to pass this monstrosity, I’m moer than happy to have them so thoroughly shoot themselves in the foot. Because President Palin will be happy to sign a law undoing all the Democrats changes (which won’t have kicked in before she wins the 2012 election), and the Republican’s filibuster proof majority in teh Senate will pass repeal in about two weeks.