Archive for November, 2008

The “Obama Wins” Post I wish I’d written

November 9, 2008

What can I say?  Iowahawk is a lot funnier than I am

Although I have not always been the most outspoken advocate of President-Elect Barack Obama, today I would like to congratulate him and add my voice to the millions of fellow citizens who are celebrating his historic and frightening election victory. I don’t care whether you are a conservative or a liberal — when you saw this inspiring young African-American rise to our nation’s highest office I hope you felt the same sense of patriotic pride that I experienced, no matter how hard you were hyperventilating with deep existential dread.

Yes, I know there are probably other African-Americans much better qualified and prepared for the presidency. Much, much better qualified. Hundreds, easily, if not thousands, and without any troubling ties to radical lunatics and Chicago mobsters. Gary Coleman comes to mind. But let’s not let that distract us from the fact that Mr. Obama’s election represents a profound, positive milestone in our country’s struggle to overcome its long legacy of racial divisions and bigotry. It reminds us of how far we’ve come, and it’s something everyone in our nation should celebrate in whatever little time we now have left.

Less than fifty years ago, African-Americans were barred from public universities, restaurants, and even drinking fountains in many parts of the country. On Tuesday we came together and transcended that shameful legacy, electing an African-American to the country’s top job — which, in fact, appears to be his first actual job. Certainly, it doesn’t mean that racism has disappeared in America, but it is an undeniable mark of progress that a majority of voters no longer consider skin color nor a dangerously gullible naivete as a barrier to the presidency.

Go read the whole thing.

Onion News Network Takes Down Obama Supporters

November 6, 2008

This is a classic

Is Obama “A Good Man”?

November 6, 2008

I say no.  A good man does not spend 20 years in the pews and Trinity United Church, listening to the hate spewing forth from Reverend Jeremiah “God Damn America” Wright.  A good man doesn’t start his political career in the home of two unrepentant anti-American terrorists, William Ayers and Bernadette Dohrn.  A good man doesn’t associate with groups, like ACORN, that routinely engage in vote fraud.  And a good man doesn’t run a campaign that routinely and blatantly violates the law, doing the equivalent of setting up dumpsters around the world where anyone, from anywhere, could walk by and throw in as much cash as they want to for the Obama Campaign.

Ignoring his politics, ignoring all the lies he told in his campaign, ignoring the bribes he’s taken and arranged, ignoring the way he worked so well with the corrupt Daley machine, ignoring all the press did to help him, just consider the above.  Would you want to associate with such a person?  Would you want to be friends with a man whose spiritual mentor was happy about the 9/11 attacks?

Barack Obama is a bad human being.  He is, at best, amoral and obsessively power hungry.  His one saving grace is that he’s lacked the competence to actually do much of anything other than win elections.

Now he’s President of the US.  Apparently running for President of the World.  The first executive position he held was running the Annenberg Challenge project to improve education in Chicago.  He was an utter failure.

Now we’re going to see if he can do any better with his second executive position.

I Support Operation Leper

November 6, 2008

Various scum-bag McCain aides have been trashing Sarah Palin to try to draw attention from their, and their candidate’s, failures in this campaign.  Over at RedState Operation Leper has begun, to hunt down and out the cowardly jerks.

As someone who donated both time and money during this campaign, I’m promising that I will never support any candidate who hires any of the people identified by Project Leper.  I encourage all other right-wing bloggers to make the same pledge.

Congratulations, President (almost) Elect Obama

November 5, 2008

You’ve run the most corrupt and dishonest campaign in my lifetime, and, with a strong assist from a US Press that abandoned all pretensions of honesty in order to drag you across the finish line, you’ve won the 2008 Presidential election, and are the first Democrat since Jimmy Carter to win more than 50% of the vote.

What you now face is a big decision: what kind of President do you want to be?

Do you want to be the person you’ve been for the last 20 years, which is to say a hard-core party-line Democrat?

Or do you want to be the person you pretended to be while campaigning to be President?  The reasonable, post-partisan person who will reach across the aisle and work with people not in your party?

And are you really going to raise taxes while the economy is going into a recession?

With all due respect, i think your lack of successful executive experience is going to make your Presidency a disaster, and 2010 a banner year for Republicans.  But I’m not looking forward to what you’re going to do to the country over the next two years, and so hope that you’re not as incompetent an executive as you appear.

Because I think fair is fair, I wish you the same “honeymoon” that your predecessor, President Bush, received in 2001.

Congratulations, Alaska Democrats

November 5, 2008

Sean Parnell, Alaska Lieutenant Governor, was leading in the polls for the Republican Congressional primary in Alaska against Don Young, until the Alaska Democrat Party dropped a bunch of negative ads against him (because they thought they could beat Don Young).

However, with 99% of he vote in, Don Young is leading 52% to 44%.


Thanks for sticking us with that crook for another 2 years.

Figuring out the election

November 4, 2008

Tuesday, Nov 4, 2008, is going to be an interesting day. And an even more interesting evening. Hopefully, the election will finally be over. So, the questions are “who is going to win” and “how will I know?” In the hopes of helping sanity everywhere, I offer the following guide to the results:

First of all, ignore the exit polls.

40. Every election, the television networks conduct exit polls of people as they leave their polling places on Election Day. If you were asked to participate, how likely is it you would be willing to spend 10 minutes filling out a questionnaire?
Obama voters who responded very likely/somewhat likely: 77% (46 / 31)
McCain voters who responded very likely/somewhat likely: 64% (35 / 29)

Let’s say that McCain wins Ohio 51 – 49. If 64% of his voters, and 77% of Obama’s, respond to the survey, then the result will be 32.64 – 37.73, or 54% Obama to 46% McCain, an 8 point, outside the “margin of error” Obama victory.
If Obama doesn’t crush McCain in the Exit polls, the Obama supporters are pretty much guaranteed a long night. So assume they’re going to be for Obama, and don’t worry about them

So, how can you tell what’s going on? Look at actual state results. When do state results start coming in?

  1. Indiana and Kentucky go first. Both states are split across the Eastern and Central time zones. The polls close at 6 PM local time, so half the polls will be closed for an hour before all the polls are closed. I expect that the SoS Offices will refrain from giving vote results, and the networks won’t officially give any exit poll results, until all the polls are closed. However, they’ll be counting once the polls close. So by 7 PM EDT / 4 PM PDT, they should have some real numbers to report.

For various reasons, the Obama campaign has been making a big push in Indiana. Bush won the state by 16% and 343,856 votes in 2000, and 21% and 512,362 votes in 2004. The RCP Average for Indiana is currently 1.4%.  If Obama is winning the State in early returns, look for it to be a long night for McCain.  If McCain is winning by 10%, look for it to be a long night for Obama.

Neither campaign has made a big push in Kentucky. Bush won the state by 15% and 233,594 votes in 2000, and 20% and 355,878 votes in 2004. The RCP Average for Kentucky is 13.5%.  This state’s results could be quite interesting.  Since neither campaign has paid much attention to it, it should serve as a good barometer for actual public interest in the election.  If McCain beats 20% there, kiss Obama goodbye.  If he beats 15%, you can almost assuredly kiss Obama goodbye.

If he doesn’t beat 15%, but his final margin looks like it’s going to beat his 2004 margin, Obama’s still probably in trouble.  Why?  Because if both sides increase their turnout by the same number of people, then while the winning percentage will drop, that doesn’t do the Democrats any good.  They ahve to turn out more new votes than the Republicans.  If they just get the same, they’re screwed.

Sticking to the narative, no matter what

November 4, 2008

Go to love the blindness displayed by this “reporter”

Turnout records fall even in GOP-friendly states

By PHILLIP RAWLS, Associated Press Writer

MONTGOMERY, Ala. – Even in reliably red states where Barack Obama has little chance of winning on Tuesday, unprecedented numbers of registrations and early votes have been tallied, and elections officials are predicting a record turnout in places where neither candidate even bothered to campaign.

Gosh, imagine that. “Even in reliably red states” more people are going to the pools. I wonder, could these be Republican voters?

An aggressive and well-financed get-out-the-vote campaign helped Obama’s campaign mobilize unprecedented numbers of African-American and new voters who could help decide the presidential election by swinging states like North Carolina and Virginia to the Democrat.

But even in states like Alabama, Utah, Nebraska and Oklahoma, Republican strongholds where John McCain could post double-digit wins, Obama’s candidacy helped boost registration numbers, particularly in urban areas. Republicans countered by mobilizing their own base, a process aided by McCain’s vice presidential pick, Sarah Palin, who’s popular among conservatives.

Ah, so Republicans could be voting in record numbers, too.

“It may not shift Alabama from red to blue, or shift Tennessee from red to blue,” Ferrel Guillory, an expert in Southern politics at the University of North Carolina, said of the turnout projections. “But it could have an effect over the long term.”

No, says the “expert”, it’s all about the Democrats.

But even as Obama managed to inspire Democrats in decidedly red states, Republicans had a secret weapon of their own in rallying conservative voters.

Wow! What is this “secret weapon”? Is it vote suppression? Is it super KKK?

McCain’s selection of Palin was critical to building enthusiasm among the party’s traditional base, said Merle Black, a political scientist at Emory University in Atlanta.

Oh! It’s the Vice Presidential Candidate! That’s a “secret”?

“She is giving a voice to a lot of conservative voters — particularly evangelicals — in a way McCain never could do on his own,” he said. “She’s a heroine in the religious community.”

Early voting in Oklahoma set an all-time high, and a record turnout on Election Day appeared likely, according to Mike Clingman, election board secretary. Polls there have shown Obama getting about a third of the vote, about the same as John Kerry four years ago.

In other words, for every one new Obama voter, there are two new McCain voters.

State Democratic Party Chairman Ivan Holmes is expecting a strong Obama turnout in urban areas, but he anticipates a backlash in some conservative areas where the candidate’s race may be a factor — “especially among older voters.”

Ah, that’s it! It’s racism! That’s what’s getting the Republican voters out.

Texas saw its voter registration hit a record 13.5 million this year. But neither presidential candidate spent much time in a state that has gone Republican in every election since 1980.

Randall Dillard, spokesman for the secretary of state, said both sides were driving the registration boom.

“History can be made,” he said, “no matter how this race goes.”

So, in the second to last sentence of the article, we finally get the useful information: both sides were driving the registration boom.